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Most restaurants and shops in the tony St. Armands Circle district of Sarasota were flooded with water from Milton and Hurricane Helene, which tore through Florida almost two weeks ahead of Milton. The dominant performing arts hall in Sarasota is closed until January because of extensive damage. Mounds of debris are scattered along Gulf Coast roads.

Hurricane Milton hit Florida's Gulf Coast, one of the most popular areas for snowbirds 鈥� temporary residents who spend winter months in the Sunshine State 鈥� right before the start of the season which generally runs from after Halloween to around Easter. Milton landed on a barrier island in Sarasota County as a Category 3 hurricane. The storm swamped coastal homes with mounds of sand, pushed water inland and caused tens of billions of dollars in privately insured losses up and down the Gulf Coast.

Visitors need to stay away for the time being so they don鈥檛 interfere with the work of residents and recovery workers, said Larry West, a construction contractor who has been pulling long hours digging out 4-foot drifts of storm-driven sand at a condo complex on Manasota Key, about 32 miles south of Sarasota.

鈥淕ive this area time. Don鈥檛 come here,鈥� West said. "It doesn't help when you get people in the way."

Other Floridians on the Gulf Coast are taking the opposite view. In Clearwater, more than 55 miles north of Sarasota, Mayor Bruce Rector said he has been fielding calls from as far away as Canada, asking him, 鈥淢ayor, when will it be safe for Canadians to return to Clearwater?鈥�

鈥淚 told them, 鈥楾oday,'" Rector said during a recent meeting of the Pinellas County Tourist Development Council. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not going to be perfect, but you鈥檙e going to have a similar experience to what you鈥檝e always had here.鈥�

Shawn Kaleta, one of the largest property owners on Anna Maria Island, about 20 miles north of Sarasota, also feels bullish about this season as reservations at the rental properties he manages trend up from where they were last year.

Florida, a state with 23 million residents, has about 1.5 million seasonal residents annually, with about a third coming from Canada.

Evan Rachkovsky, communications director of the Canadian Snowbird Association, said he hasn't heard of any members canceling their plans, even those whose homes were damaged, although some are delaying their trips until the situation improves.

鈥淢ost of our members are still going to be proceeding south as planned,鈥� Rachkovsky said.

Some snowbirds have already made their annual migration south despite the latest storms, returning to their pickleball groups and tennis leagues even as some of their neighbors' condos remain unlivable.

Because of Sarasota's renown for a thriving performing arts scene, a sizable chunk of its snowbirds are performing arts patrons. Milton caused extensive damage to the Van Wezel performing arts hall, which hosts the Sarasota Orchestra and the Sarasota Ballet, and all performances have been canceled until the beginning of 2025.

During the past few years, many snowbirds delayed coming to Florida, choosing to return after hurricane season ends in late November. As a result, some performing arts groups are pushing back the start of their seasons to later in the year, said Richard Russell, general director of Sarasota Opera, where about 40% of season subscribers are snowbirds.

鈥淚f people for a couple of years delay coming back because of storm activity in late October, that may be the new pattern," Russell said.

Owners of vacation homes outside Florida see opportunity in the Gulf Coast's misfortune. Gary Sacks advertised his two-bedroom condo in North Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, on the 鈥淔lorida Snowbirds 2025鈥� Facebook page less than a week after Milton made landfall, targeting those 鈥渨hose plans for being a snowbird were impacted by the two hurricanes that hit Florida.鈥� He didn't respond to a request for an interview.

Jim Lenz, 96, who lives outside Dayton, Ohio, and spends the winter in The Villages, a sprawling central Florida retirement community, believes the storms may give pause to some snowbirds鈥� winter plans, 鈥減articularly people who are older and may decide, 鈥業 don鈥檛 want to take that chance anymore.鈥欌��

鈥淪ome may give up on it. Others may decide, 鈥榃e just can鈥檛 stand the cold up here and we are going down,鈥欌�� Lenz said.

Some snowbirds like Joe Singer say the growing number and intensity of the storms aren't going to keep them away. Singer, who has spent the past five winters in Parkland, Florida, instead of his native New Jersey, said he and other snowbirds are adapting by buying homes farther inland or on higher ground and acquiring generators.

The winter months are 鈥渓ike a mini-heaven,鈥� said Singer, who is an avid walker. 鈥淚 get up in the morning and go walking. I don鈥檛 have to scrape ice off my windshield. I don鈥檛 have to shovel the sidewalk. It鈥檚 just been very, very nice.鈥�